The adherence methodology was also applied using previously reported PK models for the antimalarial drugs piperaquine and lumefantrine, according to the overall procedures suggested in Figure
2.
A large‐scale pooled PK analysis of piperaquine, combining 11 clinical trials (8776 samples from 728 individuals) in healthy volunteers (
n = 50) and patients with uncomplicated malaria (
n = 678), showed that piperaquine PK properties were described accurately by a three‐compartment disposition model with transit absorption.
24 (
link) A total of 301 children below the age of 5 years was included in the analysis, and the age to reach 50% of full maturation of the elimination clearance (MF
50) was 0.575 years, and the Hill coefficient in the maturation function was 5.11. This resulted in 95% of the full elimination clearance (MF
95) at 1 year of age, resulting in a negligible age effect on clearance in patients greater than 1 year. The relative bioavailability was increased by 23.7% between each dosing occasion in patients with malaria infection.
The PK properties of lumefantrine has also been evaluated in a large pooled analysis based on 4122 patients from 26 different studies in adults (
n = 2665), pregnant women (
n = 123), and children below 10 years old (
n = 1457) with uncomplicated
P. falciparum malaria. This study found that lumefantrine were described accurately by a two‐compartment disposition model with first‐order absorption.
25 (
link) Lumefantrine exposure decreased with increasing pretreatment parasitemia, and showed dose‐dependent saturation of the absorption. Moreover, pregnancy status increased the absorption rate of lumefantrine by 35.2%.
PK parameters and variability presented in the published papers
24 (
link),
25 (
link) were used for the current simulations. All the patients were assumed to receive a daily dose of piperaquine or a twice‐daily dose of lumefantrine for a total of 3 days, following two plausible clinical dosing strategies; directly observed administration of the first dose only (DOT first‐dose) followed by non‐observed therapy for the remaining doses; and non‐observed therapy of all doses (non‐DOT). The dosage of piperaquine and lumefantrine were chosen based on bodyweight as given by the WHO malaria treatment guidelines.
12 The simulation was based on the covariate‐parameter relationships in previous pooled PK model in patients with malaria infection. With the individual covariate data, we were able to simulate PK concentrations in all conditions for piperaquine (bodyweight and age) and lumefantrine (bodyweight, pretreatment parasitemia, dose, and pregnant status). We reported cutoff concentrations for each kg bodyweight in patients weighting more than 11 kg receiving piperaquine. For younger children (bodyweight <11 kg) receiving piperaquine, and all patients receiving lumefantrine, we used an R script (Appendix
S1) to simulate and derive cutoff concentrations for different combinations of covariates.
The plasma concentrations of piperaquine and lumefantrine on day 7 post first‐dose has been reported to be a biomarker for therapeutic response,
30 (
link),
31 (
link) with suggested target lumefantrine concentrations of 175 ng/mL,
32 (
link) and a target piperaquine concentration of 30 ng/mL.
33 (
link),
34 (
link) Day 7 concentration was therefore used for adherence assessments. In addition, the overall predictive performance was evaluated when using simulated plasma concentrations on day 3, 7, 14, and 21 instead. The WHO recommends that therapeutic outcomes should be assessed on day 28, or day 42 for drugs with longer elimination half‐lives (e.g., piperaquine). This would have been the ideal sampling time for adherence assessments, but days 28 and 42 had a low predictive performance for the investigated drugs (i.e., piperaquine and lumefantrine) and was not evaluated further in this study.
Two thousand virtual individuals were simulated for full adherence and each nonadherence scenario, based on a typical non‐pregnant patient with a median bodyweight according to that reported in the modeled populations. Both the percentile and Bayesian approach were evaluated (in the same manner as stated above). However, the Bayesian method was not evaluated for lumefantrine due too many possible dose combinations (a total of 64 simulated full and nonadherence scenarios for 6 different dosing events) making this approach unpractical.
Ding J., Hoglund R.M, & Tarning J. (2024). Medication adherence framework: A population‐based pharmacokinetic approach and its application in antimalarial treatment assessments. CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology, 13(5), 795-811.