Our statistical plan follows. All analyses were conducted in SAS 9.4.
We first conducted a series of Chi square analyses in order to determine if there were disproportionate frequencies of one or another APOE genotype namely “e2” (comprised of e2/e2s and e2/e3 cases), “e3” (e3 homozygotes), “e3/e4” cases, and “e4/e4” cases associated with neuropathological staging or presence/absence of pathology. The e2/e4 genotype (N = 46 cases) was examined in a separate series of analyses.
If findings were positive, we refined our analysis by conducting two planned contrasts in regression models in which e2 was contrasted with e3 and e2 was contrasted with e4 as predictors. In these regressions we adjusted for age at death and sex. If the outcome measure was binary, we utilized logistic regression. If the outcome was ordinal, we utilized ordinal regression.
Given the number of Chi-square analyses that we conducted (12) we used a Bonferroni correction to reduce the probability of type I error. Thus, for 12 Chi square analyses, we set significance at
p < 0.004. We considered 0.004 <
p < 0.01 trend level significance. For the two planned contrasts using ORs (e2 v e3 and e2 v e4), we considered
p < 0.01 as significant.
p values for ORs were derived from maximum likelihood estimate Wald Chi squares.
We elected to examine APOE genotype associations with the following classes of neuropathologies.
(1) AD-related pathologies based on the robust association of e2 with reduced risk of clinically diagnosed AD and e4 with increased risk for AD. Histopathologies were as defined in the Montine ABC criteria for severity. (A) Diffuse amyloid plaque (Thal stage) is a measure of spread of plaque and higher scores indicate greater spread of pathology. (B) Braak stage is a measure of progression of NFTs and higher level stages indicate spread of pathology to neocortex. (C) Neuritic plaques are a hallmark feature of AD and may have more specificity to AD than diffuse plaques, with higher levels indicating greater density of pathology.
We also examined the impact of APOE on NFTs rated by Braak stage severity in mediation analyses in which amyloid neuritic plaque served as the mediator in an indirect path, based on consistent evidence that amyloid plaques develop prior to NFTs in AD.
Thus, if APOE genotype effects on Braak stage were significant, we sought to determine if there was a significant mediation effect (i.e., an indirect effect) between APOE genotype (e2 v e3) and Braak stage using the Sobel statistic, which is optimal for identifying mediation effects in large samples, while also examining the direct effect of APOE genotype on Braak stage.
For the e2/e4 genotype, analyzed separately, we sought to determine if e2 might in some way minimize e4 related AD pathology. This genotype thus includes both the protective and risk variant isoforms. We sought to determine if the protective variant can to some degree moderate the effects of e4, or if e4 is toxic and can promote pathology independent of e2.
(2) Lewy body disease due to alpha-synuclein aggregations, as it has recently been proposed that there is increased co-morbidity between AD and Lewy body disease
19 (link). Insofar as APOE e4 is a driver of AD, it may be predicted that it will be associated with LB dementia. Ratings were based on midbrain only, limbic, and neocortical involvement.
(3) FTLD related protein aggregation pathologies including 3R tau Picks disease, other 4R tauopathies and TDP-43 pathology, given suggestions that either AD pathology may promote other protein aggregation neurodegenerative disorders or that protein aggregation disorders share molecular properties that increase risk of co-morbidity. Hence, if APOE e4 promotes a protein aggregation disorder such as AD, it may also promote other such disorders. Similarly, if e2 reduces risk for a protein aggregation disorder such as AD it may reduce risk for other such disorders. All these pathologies were rated as absent/present.
Goldberg T.E., Huey E.D, & Devanand D.P. (2020). Association of APOE e2 genotype with Alzheimer’s and non-Alzheimer’s neurodegenerative pathologies. Nature Communications, 11, 4727.