A retrospective design was used to study patients with confirmed acute GBS who were admitted to the Department of Neurology at the Beijing Tongren Hospital of Capital Medical University from 2007 to 2021. (1) Inclusion criteria: (i) met the diagnostic criteria of the 2019 Chinese Guillain-Barré Syndrome Diagnosis and Treatment Guidelines developed by the Chinese Medical Association [3 ]; (ii) first-onset admission. (2) Exclusion criteria: (i) patients with combined definite intracranial lesions; (ii) patients with chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy (CIDP); (iii) patients who could not be excluded from peripheral neuropathy caused by other etiologies; (iv) patients with incomplete case data.
Measured characteristics included gender, age at onset, antecedent infection (whether diarrhea, upper respiratory tract infection, pulmonary infection, or other unexplained infection occurred within 4 weeks prior to onset), cranial nerve involvement (presence of ophthalmoplegia, facial palsy, dysarthria, dysphagia, weak neck, and shoulder rotation), presence of pulmonary infection (symptoms such as cough, sputum, and fever during the course of the disease, and confirmation with high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) of the lungs). Mechanical ventilatory support, hyponatremia, hypoalbuminemia, impaired fasting glucose and the peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were analyzed as alternative influencing factors. Peripheral blood was collected from all patients within 24 h of admission. Plasma sodium < 135 mmol/L was considered as combined hyponatremia. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) > 6.1 mmol/L was considered impaired fasting glucose. Plasma albumin < 35 g/L was defined as hypoalbuminemia. An elevated NLR was defined as an NLR value > 2.135.
The GBS disability score developed by Hughes (Hughes functional grading scale, HFGS) [4 (
link)] et al. was used for assessment on the day of discharge: 0 represented a completely normal state; 1 represented mild signs or symptoms and ability to run; 2 represented the ability to walk ≥ 10 m alone but the inability to run; 3 represented the ability to walk 10 m in open space with assistance; 4 represented a bedridden or wheelchair bound state; 5 represented a requirement of assisted ventilatory support; and 6 referred to death. Those with GBS disability scores > 3 at discharge were considered to have a poor early prognosis and those with GBS scores ≤ 3 had better early prognoses.
SPSS 23.0 and MedCalc statistical software were used for the analysis. The χ2 test or Fisher's exact test was used to compare groups of count data. (1) Univariate analysis was used to derive risk factors for poorer early prognosis (HFGS score > 3) in patients with GBS. (2) Statistically significant (
P < 0.05) influencing factors obtained from this analysis were then included in a multivariate logistic regression analysis, and regression coefficients were calculated. (3) The integer value closest to the regression coefficient was used as the influencing factor score value in order to establish an early prognostic scoring system. (4) The predictive value of the scoring system was evaluated by plotting the receiver operating curve (ROC) curve: the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated, the appropriate cut-off value was selected, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated.
Di X., Wang J., Li L, & Liu L. (2023). Establishment of a single-center-based early prognostic scoring system for Guillain-Barré syndrome. BMC Neurology, 23, 97.