For the patients in our cohort we have established the date, but not specific cause, of death (if it occurred before the end of our follow-up period). Therefore it was the all-cause attributable IE mortality rates which were determined. Crude rates were determined by counting the number of deaths in our patient cohort within a specific time period after IE was diagnosed. The crude mortality rates represented the absolute mortality risk in the cohort. Another way to illustrate the absolute mortality risk associated with IE is to look at the Kaplan-Meier survival estimator, where the crude survival rate is 1- crude mortality rate.
In order to explore possible increases in long-term relative mortality risks, the crude mortality rates were then directly standardized using age- and sex- stratified mortality rates from the general population of Sweden as the reference population. This data was available from the Statistics Sweden. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR), was then the ratio between the observed number of deaths and the expected number of deaths, where the expected number of deaths was obtained by multiplying the person-years in the cohort with the age- and sex specific mortality rates in the Swedish general population. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals for the SMR were calculated assuming that the observed number of deaths was Poisson distributed. Comparisons of mortality between early surgery and medical therapy were done within each patient category (native and prosthetic valve IE) using age- and sex- stratified Mantel-Haenszel estimates of the odds ratio. The time trend for the annual incidence and mortality rate of IE was explored in a linear regression model using a quasipoisson distribution and t-test for significance.