Participants were excluded from the analysis if they died before the follow-up interview (
n = 7,722), reported baseline diabetes (
n = 5,469), cancer, heart disease, or stroke (
n = 5,975), reported extreme sex-specific energy intakes (<600 or >3,000 kcal women; <700 or >3,700 kcal men), or migrated out of Singapore (
n = 17). Also excluded were 20 participants whose diabetes status was not clear after the validation effort, which left 43,176 participants in the present analysis.
Dietary patterns were derived by principal component analysis (PCA) using SAS 9.1 software (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC). PCA in nutritional analyses aims to account for the maximal variance of dietary intake by combining the many different dietary variables into a smaller number of factors based on the intercorrelation of these variables. All 165 foods and beverages, including alcohol, were first standardized to the same frequency/month unit before the PCA method was applied and factors were extracted. The factors were rotated orthogonally to maintain an uncorrelated state and improve interpretability, and a two-factor solution was retained based on eigenvalues, scree plot, and factor interpretability. For comparability and interpretability of our results, we present factor loadings ≥0.20 even though values <0.20 are statistically significant due to the large sample size of the study. These parameters align with previous studies (5 (
link)–9 (
link)).
Factor scores for each participant were calculated by multiplying the intake of the standardized food item by their respective factor loadings on each pattern. The scores are linear variables and represent the weighted sum of all 165 food and beverage items. Participants were divided into quintiles by score to indicate the level at which their dietary intake corresponded with each pattern (i.e., a higher score corresponds with greater conformity to the derived pattern). Factors were initially extracted by sex, dialect, and smoking status and were highly similar in loading structure and disease prediction to the reported whole cohort factors, so the factors derived from the overall cohort were used.
Baseline and dietary characteristics were calculated for participants across quintiles of each dietary pattern score. Tests for trend across dietary pattern scores were performed by assigning the median value of the quintile to the respective categories and entering this as a continuous variable into the models. Person-years for each participant were calculated from the year of recruitment to the year of reported type 2 diabetes diagnosis, or year of follow-up telephone interview for those who did not report a diabetes diagnoses. Hazard ratios (HRs) per quintile of dietary pattern score were estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression models using the SAS statistical software. There was no evidence that proportional hazard assumptions were violated, as indicated by the lack of significant interaction between the dietary pattern scores and a function of survival time in the models.
Two models were constructed to examine the association between dietary pattern score and risk of type 2 diabetes. Covariates included in model I were baseline age (<50, 50–54, 55–59, 60–64, ≥65), year of interview (1993–1995 and 1996–1998), dialect (Hokkiens vs. Cantonese), sex, education (none, primary, secondary or higher), smoking (never, ever), any moderate or strenuous physical activity (yes vs. no), history of physician-diagnosed hypertension (yes vs. no), and total energy intake (kcal/day). Model II included these variables plus baseline BMI (kg/m
2 as the original BMI and its quadratic term [BMI
2]) because this may represent a mediator in this diet–diabetes relationship. Analyses testing for interactions of sex, age, smoking, physical activity, and BMI with the dietary pattern scores, as well as stratification, were completed. Lastly, sensitivity analyses excluding individuals with less than 2 years of follow-up were also done to account for confounding due to antecedent disease.
Odegaard A.O., Koh W.P., Butler L.M., Duval S., Gross M.D., Yu M.C., Yuan J.M, & Pereira M.A. (2011). Dietary Patterns and Incident Type 2 Diabetes in Chinese Men and Women: The Singapore Chinese Health Study. Diabetes Care, 34(4), 880-885.